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Design robust decision systems
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Module 3
Strategic Foresight & Failure Analysis
1
Immediate vs. Long-Term Product Impacts
Distinguish first-order (immediate) from second-order (long-term) consequences of a product decision.
2
Forecasting Feature Impact
Map the potential 6-month and 3-year impacts of a new feature introduction.
3
Catastrophic Failure Modes: An Inversion Thinking Approach
Apply inversion thinking to identify potential catastrophic failure modes for a product.
4
Pre-Mortem: Proactive Risk Identification for Feature Launches
Conduct a pre-mortem analysis to proactively identify risks for a new feature launch.
5
Stress Response Classification
Classify a system's response to stress as fragile, robust, or antifragile.
6
Mitigating Product Failure Modes
Propose mitigation strategies for the top identified failure modes in a product.
7
Causal Loop Diagrams for Product Trust-Collapse
Model a real-world product trust-collapse scenario using a causal loop diagram.
8
Consequences of Trust Collapse: First and Second-Order Effects
Analyze the key decisions in the trust-collapse scenario in terms of first and second-order consequences.
Previous module
Thinking in Systems: Modeling Products
Next module
Modeling Product Economics & Risk