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Causal Analysis: Single Event Study
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Module 1
Framing the Causal Puzzles
Formulating Causal Questions: The Cuckold-Hotwife Dynamic
Formulate the causal question for Event 1: 'What caused this mid-40s Indian couple to establish and sustain a successful cuckold-hotwife dynamic for five years?'
2
Defining Event Success
Define the outcome for Event 1 in precise, observable terms, specifying 'successful' (e.g., longevity, mutual satisfaction, relationship stability).
3
Defining Event 1: Initial State to 5-Year Mark
Establish the temporal and analytical boundaries for Event 1, from initial marital state through the 5-year mark of the arrangement.
Unpacking Event 1: Units and Levels of Analysis
Identify the key units and levels of analysis for Event 1 (e.g., individual psychology, dyadic dynamics, social context).
5
Formulating Causal Questions
Formulate the causal question for Event 2: 'What caused this particular contestant to win the sexiest boudoir lingerie photoshoot competition?'
Measuring Event 2 Success
Define the outcome for Event 2 in precise, observable terms (e.g., judges' final ranking, specific accolades received, crowd reaction metrics).
7
Defining Event 2: From Start to Finish
Establish the temporal and analytical boundaries for Event 2, from contestant registration through to final judging and audience response.
8
Event Analysis: Units and Levels
Identify the key units and levels of analysis for Event 2 (e.g., individual presentation, audience behavior, competitive environment).
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Hypothesis Development: The Cuckold-Hotwife Case