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Lesson 3

Non-Price Factors Affecting Demand & Supply

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Hello! Welcome back to our study of CFA Level 1 Economics.

Introduction

In our last lesson, we made a crucial distinction between a movement along a demand or supply curve (caused only by a change in the good's own price) and a shift of the entire curve. We established that these shifts happen when we relax the ceteris paribus ("all else being equal") assumption and allow a non-price factor to change.

This lesson directly addresses the learning outcome: to identify the key non-price factors that shift demand and supply curves. We will systematically unpack the major "other factors" for both demand and supply. Understanding these shifters is essential for analyzing how real-world events impact market prices and quantities, a core skill for financial analysis.


1. Factors That Shift the Demand Curve

A "change in demand" means that at every price, consumers are willing and able to buy a different quantity of a good. An increase in demand shifts the curve to the right; a decrease shifts it to the left.

The following video provides an excellent and detailed overview of the five primary factors that cause these shifts.

What Shifts the Demand Curve?

This video from Marginal Revolution University systematically explains the five main demand shifters. It offers clear examples for each, including the important distinctions between normal/inferior goods and substitutes/complements.

Please watch the entire video (from 00:00 to 09:33). It will introduce and explain each of the key demand shifters we will discuss.

Let's break down these factors one by one. For easy recall, you can sometimes use acronyms like TIPEC (Tastes, Income, Prices of related goods, Expectations, number of Consumers).

A. Income

A change in consumer income can increase or decrease demand, depending on the nature of the good.

  • Normal Goods: For most goods, as income rises, demand increases (the curve shifts right). As income falls, demand decreases (shifts left). Examples include restaurant meals, new cars, and vacations.
  • Inferior Goods: For some goods, the relationship is inverse. As income rises, demand decreases (shifts left). These are often cheaper alternatives that people replace as they become wealthier. Examples include instant noodles, generic brands, and bus travel.

B. Prices of Related Goods

The price of one good can affect the demand for another.

  • Substitutes: These are goods used in place of one another (e.g., Coca-Cola and Pepsi, iPhone and Android phones). If the price of a substitute good increases, demand for the original good will increase (shift right). If you were buying Pepsi, but its price goes up, you're more likely to switch to Coke.
  • Complements: These are goods often used together (e.g., cars and gasoline, printers and ink cartridges). If the price of a complementary good increases, demand for the original good will decrease (shift left). If the price of gasoline soars, the demand for less fuel-efficient SUVs may fall.

C. Tastes and Preferences

Changes in consumer tastes, often influenced by trends, advertising, or new information, can shift the demand curve. If a new health study reveals the benefits of a certain food, its demand curve will shift right.

D. Number of Buyers (Population)

An increase in the number of consumers in a market will increase demand (shift right). A decrease will shift it left. For example, demographic changes, like an aging population, will increase the demand for healthcare services.

E. Expectations

Consumers' expectations about the future can change their current demand. If you expect the price of a product to rise next month, you are more likely to buy it now, increasing current demand (a rightward shift).

To solidify these concepts with more examples and see them presented in a textbook format, please read the following sections.

3.2 Shifts in Demand and Supply for Goods and Services

This text from OpenStax provides a detailed written explanation of each demand shifter, complete with graphical illustrations and tables. This will reinforce what you learned in the video.

Please read the following three parts from the webpage: Start at the heading 'How Does Income Affect Demand?' and read through the end of that subsection. Continue with the next section, 'Other Factors That Shift Demand Curves.' Finish by reviewing the summary section 'Summing Up Factors That Change Demand' and its accompanying figure. Focus on the definitions of normal/inferior goods and substitutes/complements.


2. A Quantitative View of Demand Shifters

Your mathematical background provides an opportunity to understand these shifts at a deeper level. Recall the general demand function: . The demand curve we draw is a simplified 2D relationship between and , which assumes income () and the price of related goods () are constant.

When or changes, the entire function's relationship to is altered, causing a shift. The following reading shows this with a specific equation.

[PDF] Demand and Supply Analysis: Introduction - Kaplan

This excerpt from the Kaplan Schweser notes is directly relevant to the CFA curriculum. It presents a demand function with multiple variables, allowing us to see precisely how non-price factors are incorporated.

Please review two parts of this PDF: On page 2, read the section under 'The Demand Function'. Notice how the example equation QDgas = 10.75 – 1.25Pgas + 0.02I + 0.12PBT – 0.01Pauto contains terms for income (I), a substitute (bus travel, PBT), and a complement (automobiles, Pauto). Briefly look at the text on page 28, just below the heading 'Calculating Elasticities'. You don't need to perform the calculations, but observe how the text interprets the sign of the coefficients: a positive coefficient on income (+200I) means it's a normal good, a positive coefficient on bus travel means it's a substitute, and a negative coefficient on auto prices means they are complements. This is the mathematical 'why' behind the shifts.


3. Factors That Shift the Supply Curve

Now let's turn to producers. A "change in supply" means that at every price, firms are willing and able to sell a different quantity. An increase in supply shifts the curve to the right; a decrease shifts it to the left.

This very brief video will quickly list the main factors that shift the supply curve.

Supply and Demand in 8 Minutes

This clip from a Jacob Clifford video is a rapid-fire summary of the five main determinants of supply.

Watch from 03:30 to 05:01. The video lists the shifters for supply, analogous to what we just did for demand.

The main shifters of supply relate to the costs of production and other factors affecting producers' profitability and decisions.

A. Input Prices

A change in the price of inputs (or factors of production) is a primary shifter of supply. If the cost of labor, raw materials, or machinery decreases, production becomes more profitable, and supply increases (shifts right). An increase in input prices decreases supply (shifts left).

B. Technology

Technological advancements that make production more efficient will lower costs and increase supply (shift right).

C. Number of Sellers

If more firms enter a market, the market supply will increase (shift right). If firms exit, supply will decrease (shifts left).

D. Expectations

If producers expect the price of their product to rise significantly in the future, they might reduce the quantity they offer for sale today, choosing to store it to sell later at the higher price. This would decrease current supply (shift left).

E. Government Policies

  • Taxes: Taxes on goods (like excise taxes) increase the cost of production, leading to a decrease in supply (shift left).
  • Subsidies: Government subsidies effectively lower the cost of production, leading to an increase in supply (shift right).

This next reading from OpenStax provides a more detailed explanation of these supply shifters.

3.2 Shifts in Demand and Supply for Goods and Services

To complement the quick video, this text explains how production costs and other factors shift the supply curve.

On the same webpage as before, please read the sections: 'How Production Costs Affect Supply' 'Other Factors That Affect Supply' 'Summing Up Factors That Change Supply'


Conclusion

We have now cataloged the key non-price factors that are held constant under the ceteris paribus assumption. When any of these factors change, the result is not a movement along the curve, but a shift of the entire curve.

Key Takeaways:

  • Demand Shifters: Changes in consumer Tastes, Income, Prices of related goods (substitutes/complements), Expectations, and the number of Consumers.
  • Supply Shifters: Changes in Input prices, Technology, Number of sellers, producer Expectations, and Government policies (taxes/subsidies).
  • An increase in demand or supply is a rightward shift.
  • A decrease in demand or supply is a leftward shift.

Here is a helpful summary image that puts all of these shifters in one place.

Non-Price Determinants of Demand and Supply Shifts
This chart summarizes the key non-price determinants that cause the demand and supply curves to shift.

Preview of the Next Lesson:

Now that we understand what causes demand and supply curves to shift, we are ready to combine them. In the next lesson, we will put the demand and supply curves together to find the market equilibrium price and quantity. We will then see how the shifts we learned about today affect that equilibrium.