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CS2: Risk Modeling and Survival Analysis
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Module 8
Mortality Projection Models
1
Understanding the Lee-Carter Model: Structure and Assumptions
Describe the structure and assumptions of the Lee-Carter mortality projection model.
2
Lee-Carter Model Parameter Estimation with SVD
Estimate Lee-Carter model parameters using singular value decomposition.
3
Forecasting the Lee-Carter Time Index with ARIMA
Project the Lee-Carter time index using appropriate ARIMA models.
4
Projecting Mortality Rates and Life Expectancies
Calculate projected age-specific mortality rates and corresponding life expectancies.
5
Quantifying Mortality Uncertainty with Confidence Intervals
Quantify uncertainty in mortality projections through confidence intervals.
6
Mortality Projection Models: A Comparative Analysis
Describe and compare alternative mortality projection models (e.g., APC, P-splines).
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Graduation of Mortality Rates
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Modeling Insurance Losses