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Bayesian, Probability, Causal Analysis
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Module 1
Foundations: What is Probability?
1
Interpreting Probability: Frequentist, Propensity, and Bayesian Views
Distinguish between frequentist, propensity, and subjective (Bayesian) interpretations of probability and their ontological commitments.
2
The Dutch Book Argument: Justifying Probabilistic Coherence
Explain the Dutch Book argument as a justification for the probabilistic coherence of subjective beliefs.
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Bayesian Epistemology: Belief as Probability