UK Economy and Future Outlook

Construct and interpret a one-page dashboard of the UK economy using the latest available data on real GDP per person, inflation, real wages, employment, productivity, and business investment, comparing recent direction with pre-pandemic levels or trends.

Annotate the economic dashboard with a causal map showing how inflation, Bank of England interest-rate decisions, and government tax and spending choices transmit to household demand, firms’ financing costs, business investment, and growth.

Add an evidence-based ranking of explanations for weak UK productivity and business investment—capital and infrastructure, skills and innovation, and trade frictions and policy uncertainty—to the economic outlook brief.

Complete a one-page UK economic outlook brief by contrasting key assumptions in current OBR, Bank of England, and IMF or OECD projections and stating conditional outlooks for the next 1–2 and 5–10 years with indicators that would confirm or challenge them.